Talk:F11

What flaws were in the newbie game that are being addressed in F11? Just wondering.

• It's explained on the C9 page. --Packbat 10:50, 10 November 2010 (EST)
  • Wait - no, it isn't. I, too, would like to know. --Packbat 12:47, 10 November 2010 (EST)

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I was thinking of working out the probabilities for different populations given a F11 setup and knowledge of your own role-PM only. Does anyone want to comment on the following? --Packbat 10:50, 10 November 2010 (EST)

• Probability of all three PRs existing:
  • If your PM is a PR: 50%.
  • If your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Roleblocker partner: 50%.
  • if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Goon partner: 0%.
  • If your PM is Vanilla Town: 20.83% (5/24)

• Probability of any given PR existing:
  • If your PM is a PR: 100% yours, 50% others.
  • if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Roleblocker partner: 100% Roleblocker, 50% both Cop and Doc, 50% neither.
  • if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Goon partner: 0% Roleblocker, 50% Cop, 50% Doc (known one or the other).
  • if your PM is Vanilla Town: 45.83% (11/24) Cop or Doc (incl. 20.83% both); 50% Roleblocker (incl. 20.83% all three).

• Probability of any given player being Mafia:
  • If Mafia: Known.
  • If Town: 25%.

• Probability of any given player being Roleblocker:
  • If Mafia: Known.
  • If Town: 6.25% (1/16).

• Probability of any given player being Cop or being Doc:
  • If Mafia: 0% yourselves, 7.14% (1/14) towns.
  • If other town PR: 6.25% (1/16).
  • If Vanilla Town: 5.73% (11/192).

Edit Packbat 14:26, 16 November 2010 (EST):

• Probability of exactly 1 mafia in a randomly selected group of n players, given town PM:
  • 1: 25%
  • 2: 42.86%
  • 3: 53.57%
  • 4: 57.14%
  • 5: 53.57%
  • 6: 42.86%
  • 7: 25%

• Probability of both mafia in n players:
  • 1: 0% (duh!)
  • 2: 3.57%
  • 3: 10.71%
  • 4: 21.43%
  • 5: 35.72%
  • 6: 53.57%
  • 7: 75%

• Probability of at least 1 mafia in n players:
  • 1: 25%
  • 2: 46.43%
  • 3: 64.28%
  • 4: 78.57%
  • 5: 89.29%
  • 6: 96.43%
  • 7: 100%