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(New page: What flaws were in the newbie game that are being addressed in F11? Just wondering.)
 
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What flaws were in the newbie game that are being addressed in F11? Just wondering.
What flaws were in the newbie game that are being addressed in F11? Just wondering.
* <s>It's explained on the [[C9]] page.</s> --[[User:Packbat|Packbat]] 10:50, 10 November 2010 (EST)
** Wait - no, it isn't. I, too, would like to know. --[[User:Packbat|Packbat]] 12:47, 10 November 2010 (EST)
----
I was thinking of working out the probabilities for different populations given a F11 setup and knowledge of your own role-PM only. Does anyone want to comment on the following? --[[User:Packbat|Packbat]] 10:50, 10 November 2010 (EST)
* Probability of all three PRs existing:
** '''If your PM is a PR''': 50%.
** '''If your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Roleblocker partner''': 50%.
** '''if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Goon partner''': 0%.
** '''If your PM is Vanilla Town''': 20.83% (5/24)
* Probability of any given PR existing:
** '''If your PM is a PR''': 100% yours, 50% others.
** '''if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Roleblocker partner''': 100% Roleblocker, 50% both Cop and Doc, 50% neither.
** '''if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Goon partner''': 0% Roleblocker, 50% Cop, 50% Doc (known one or the other).
** '''if your PM is Vanilla Town''': 45.83% (11/24) Cop or Doc (incl. 20.83% both); 50% Roleblocker (incl. 20.83% all three).
* Probability of any given player being Mafia:
** '''If Mafia''': Known.
** '''If Town''': 25%.
* Probability of any given player being Roleblocker:
** '''If Mafia''': Known.
** '''If Town''': 6.25% (1/16).
* Probability of any given player being Cop or being Doc:
** '''If Mafia''': 0% yourselves, 7.14% (1/14) towns.
** '''If other town PR''': 6.25% (1/16).
** '''If Vanilla Town''': 5.73% (11/192).
Edit [[User:Packbat|Packbat]] 14:26, 16 November 2010 (EST):
* Probability of exactly 1 mafia in a randomly selected group of ''n'' players, given town PM:
** 1: 25%
** 2: 42.86%
** 3: 53.57%
** 4: 57.14%
** 5: 53.57%
** 6: 42.86%
** 7: 25%
* Probability of both mafia in ''n'' players:
** 1: 0% (duh!)
** 2: 3.57%
** 3: 10.71%
** 4: 21.43%
** 5: 35.72%
** 6: 53.57%
** 7: 75%
* Probability of at least 1 mafia in ''n'' players:
** 1: 25%
** 2: 46.43%
** 3: 64.28%
** 4: 78.57%
** 5: 89.29%
** 6: 96.43%
** 7: 100%

Latest revision as of 20:05, 16 November 2010

What flaws were in the newbie game that are being addressed in F11? Just wondering.

  • It's explained on the C9 page. --Packbat 10:50, 10 November 2010 (EST)
    • Wait - no, it isn't. I, too, would like to know. --Packbat 12:47, 10 November 2010 (EST)

I was thinking of working out the probabilities for different populations given a F11 setup and knowledge of your own role-PM only. Does anyone want to comment on the following? --Packbat 10:50, 10 November 2010 (EST)

  • Probability of all three PRs existing:
    • If your PM is a PR: 50%.
    • If your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Roleblocker partner: 50%.
    • if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Goon partner: 0%.
    • If your PM is Vanilla Town: 20.83% (5/24)
  • Probability of any given PR existing:
    • If your PM is a PR: 100% yours, 50% others.
    • if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Roleblocker partner: 100% Roleblocker, 50% both Cop and Doc, 50% neither.
    • if your PM is a Mafia Goon with a Mafia Goon partner: 0% Roleblocker, 50% Cop, 50% Doc (known one or the other).
    • if your PM is Vanilla Town: 45.83% (11/24) Cop or Doc (incl. 20.83% both); 50% Roleblocker (incl. 20.83% all three).
  • Probability of any given player being Mafia:
    • If Mafia: Known.
    • If Town: 25%.
  • Probability of any given player being Roleblocker:
    • If Mafia: Known.
    • If Town: 6.25% (1/16).
  • Probability of any given player being Cop or being Doc:
    • If Mafia: 0% yourselves, 7.14% (1/14) towns.
    • If other town PR: 6.25% (1/16).
    • If Vanilla Town: 5.73% (11/192).

Edit Packbat 14:26, 16 November 2010 (EST):

  • Probability of exactly 1 mafia in a randomly selected group of n players, given town PM:
    • 1: 25%
    • 2: 42.86%
    • 3: 53.57%
    • 4: 57.14%
    • 5: 53.57%
    • 6: 42.86%
    • 7: 25%
  • Probability of both mafia in n players:
    • 1: 0% (duh!)
    • 2: 3.57%
    • 3: 10.71%
    • 4: 21.43%
    • 5: 35.72%
    • 6: 53.57%
    • 7: 75%
  • Probability of at least 1 mafia in n players:
    • 1: 25%
    • 2: 46.43%
    • 3: 64.28%
    • 4: 78.57%
    • 5: 89.29%
    • 6: 96.43%
    • 7: 100%
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